Thursday, June 26, 2014

Why Jake Peavy Needs to Go (To the National League)

     Let's face it. Jake Peavy has been awful so far during his time with the Red Sox. Peavy has earned a 5-7 record with an ERA of 4.57 with the Sox. This year, he has earned a 1-6 record and an ERA of 4.93. Yikes! With both Brandon Workman and Rubby De La Rosa pitching extremely well, and with Doubront and Buchholz coming back from injuries, someone has to get booted out of the rotation. Out of all of Boston's starters, Peavy should be the guy.
     However, Peavy is not a lost cause. In fact, he pitches extremely well against National League teams and in National League Ballparks. Figures, seeing how he won a CY Young award with the Padres. His stats line with and against National League teams has such an extreme difference from the American League that you would think they are from two different pitchers. Let me explain: With the Padres, Peavy earned a 92-68 record with an ERA of 3.29 in eight seasons. He averaged 190 strikeouts a season, 189 innings, and with only 61 walks. In the AL (with the White Sox and Red Sox combined) he averages 97 strikeouts, 114 innings, and with an improved 31 walks a season. A Huge difference between the two.
     The difference between ballparks is also astronomical. In NL ballparks, Peavy has an ERA of 3.18, averages 6 strikeouts a game, 6 innings, and has a winning percentage of .610. In AL ballparks, Peavy has an ERA of 4.01, averages 5 strikeouts a game, 6 innings, and has a winning percentage of .509. Also, NL batters only hit .239 against him-compared to .276 against AL opponents.
     In Boston, Jake Peavy just isn't getting it done. And he probably won't get it done for any AL team either. Boston's best bet-as well as Peavy's- is to try a trade to the NL. How about the Phillies (probably not happening though)? Against teams other than the Phillies in that division, Peavy has 18 wins in 40 starts (not a whole lot of impressing there) but in 261 innings pitched, he only has given up 228 hits with 285 strikeouts and an ERA of 3.43. Seems like a good fit, doesn't it?

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