Friday, January 2, 2015

NFL Wild Card Playoffs Analysis and Predictions

The road to Glendale, Ariz. begins this Saturday with four good matchups in this year’s wild card playoffs. With matchups such as the red hot, sub .500 Carolina Panthers playing at home against the faltering Arizona Cardinals and the staunch Detroit Lions against the improbable Dallas Cowboys, this week’s games are sure to provide entertainment and heartbreak for fans. Here is the breakdown and predictions for each wild card matchup.
Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers (Sat. Jan. 3 @ 4:20 p.m.)
Keys for Arizona
            Plagued by quarterback injuries, third-string Ryan Lindley will be starting for the Cardinals, who lost both of his previous starts, throwing four interceptions and only two touchdowns. In order for the team to win Saturday, the defense needs to play perfectly. Arizona will most likely not score 20-30 points with their offense, rather they are looking for a 14-13 type win. The defense needs to contain Carolina quarterback Cam Newton and not let him break free for big gains running the ball. If the defense can minimize Newton, they have a good chance to win this game.
Keys for Carolina
            The Carolina Panthers have done the improbable, winning four straight after losing sixth in a row to capture the NFC South. The Panthers have 14 sacks in their last four wins, while Newton also averaged 65 rushing-yards per game and had a rushing touchdown in every game he appeared in during the win streak. The Panthers have played like a legitimate division champion recently and for Carolina to win this game, Newton has to continue playing at such a high level. Ditto for the defense.
Verdict
            The Carolina Panthers are the hot team right now, while Arizona has lost four of their last six while going through three quarterbacks. If Arizona can contain Newton, they can win, but it doesn’t look so for Saturday. Carolina lucked out in this matchup. Carolina 27 Arizona 13
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (Sat. Jan. 3 @ 8:15 p.m.)
Keys for Baltimore
            While under coach John Harbaugh, the Ravens have a good chance to make it to the Super Bowl every year. Under Harbaugh, the team has made it to the playoffs six out of seven years, winning at least one game in five of those years. How do they do it? By unleashing quarterback Joe Flacco. Flacco has an arm that can win games single handedly for this team. Baltimore needs to take advantage of that against a defense that ranks 18th in both yards and points allowed.
Keys for Pittsburgh
            If Pittsburgh does not have Le’Veon Bell for Saturday, things become very hard for the Steelers. With over 2,000 total yards on offense, Bell carries much of the load for Pittsburgh. Fortunately, they also have pro-bowl receiver Antonio Brown in the mix. Brown amassed 1,698 receiving yards on the year (106 average per game), as well as 13 touchdowns. Baltimore’s defense ranks 23rd against the pass. The Steelers need to exploit this weakness in order to win the game. They need to throw it to Brown on virtually every play that matters.
Verdict
            With Bell, the Steelers have a formidable team. Without him they are somewhat-lacking. Harbaugh knows how to coach and probably can conceal the team’s weaknesses. Without Bell, it is hard to see the Steelers take down Harbaugh and Flacco in a playoff game. Baltimore 24 Pittsburgh 20
Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts (Sun. Jan. 4 @ 1:05 p.m.)
Keys for Cincinnati
            Bengals fans must fear for their lives every time the team makes it to the playoffs. In the past three years, the Bengals have lost in terrific fashion during the wild card playoffs, losing to scores such as 27-10, 19-13, and 31-10. Quarterback Andy Dalton has also played terrible during the playoffs, throwing six interceptions and only one touchdown. Overall though, the team is much better than Indianapolis. They have a more-sound defense and an overall better offense that uses the running game and the passing game. In order to win this game, Dalton must step up and execute as well as the entire team needs to play up to par.
Keys for Indianapolis
            The Colts probably have the most flaws in the AFC. Their run game is virtually non-existent and their defense either plays phenomenally or falls right on their faces. The defense’s genius also comes sporadically every week; the team never knows which type of defense will show up. However, the Colts have the best quarterback of the new era in Andrew Luck who has single-handedly won multiple games for the team this year. In week seven, the Colts beat the Bengals 27-0, holding the Bengals to only 135 total yards with four sacks and six tackles for losses. Luck also threw for 344 yards and two touchdowns. For the Colts to win, the same team needs to show up Sunday, ready to pounce on every Bengals opportunity and mishap.
Verdict
            The Bengals are the better team on paper, but they never seem to show up during the playoffs. With Luck manning the Colts offense, look for a great game from him regardless of how their defense plays. If Luck can execute and rise to the occasion, not only can the Colts win this game, they have a good shot at winning the Super Bowl. Indianapolis 34 Cincinnati 23
Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys (Sun. Jan. 4 @ 4:40 p.m.)
Keys for Detroit
            The Detroit Lions probably have the best defense going into the playoffs (cue attacks from Seattle Seahawks fans). Even though Seattle ranks first and Detroit second in most categories, the Lions have a much better front line. Detroit has to use this to their advantage in order to win games. Running back DeMarco Murray will probably have a great game against this defense, but they can take advantage against the pass. They need to force quarterback Tony Romo into making bad decisions, take sacks and buckle under pressure. Under coach Jim Caldwell, anything looks possible for this team.
Keys for Dallas
            Dallas goes into this game as the team that has over performed all year. Murray has put up numbers far greater than any other running back. Romo has had his best season to date and receiver Dez Bryant looks unstoppable. In order to defeat Detroit’s defense and win this game, all three have to step up and make the defense mad. Players such as Ndamukong Suh, Nick Fairley and DeAndre Levy start to make mistakes when they get worked up. Dallas needs to get into the head of the defense.
Verdict

            Detroit has the defense and coach to win this game. However, the fact that Detroit is 1-4 against playoffs teams this year worries me. Dallas has been over performing all season and all it takes is a couple of bad plays to bring them back down to reality. They have surprised so many fans this season by starting 6-1, taking out the Seahawks on the road and then finishing 4-0 and blowing out every opponent by scoring 38 or more points in each of those games. Unfortunately, no surprises will occur Sunday for the Lions as the Cowboys continue to prove themselves as Super Bowl contenders. Dallas 38 Detroit 24

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