Two years
ago, owners assured Red Sox Nation that Jackie Bradley Jr. would be next in
line to take over center field duties. They assured that Bradley Jr. would be a
big time player, able to compete at a high level. Once considered a valuable
trade chip, now he would be a throw-in in a deal for Giancarlo Stanton. Jackie
Bradley Jr. has been awful at the plate. So bad that the Red Sox should look
elsewhere for a center fielder.
With 427
major league at bats under his belt, Bradley Jr. is hitting .206/.281/.300.
Even worse is his strikeout numbers. Bradley Jr. has 138 career strikeouts, accounting
for 32 percent of his at bats. In contrast, he only has 88 career hits and 70
so far through the 2014 season, third worse among MLB starters. Statistician
Bill Chuck took Bradley Jr.’s numbers to another level, making it seem even
more gruesome. Chuck reported that Bradley Jr. has been held hitless in 52
games this season and has struck out in 68 games, as well as 28 multiple
strikeout games. He has the most strikeouts for hitters with less than five
home runs. Also, Bradley Jr. has a .214 batting average at Fenway Park and .218
in other parks. His numbers are terrible.
Still think
that Bradley Jr. has room to improve due to his age? Not so much. Of all players
that have 400 plate appearances with an at-bat-to-strikeout ratio of 4.5 and
Isolated Power (ISO) of .100 or less, Michael Bourn tops the list. Bradley Jr.
and Bourn have similar defensive capabilities, but Bourn could run the bases
much better before his injuries than Bradley Jr. can. Most of his value as a
starter is in his base running abilities, able to steal bases at high rates.
Bradley Jr. does not have that capability. The rest of the players on the list
include Lorenzo Cain, Gregor Blanco, and Brendan Ryan. All three had high
expectations (like Bradley Jr.) coming into the league, but have faltered into
backup roles without much value for a franchise. Bradley Jr. fits into that
category much better than with Michael Bourn.
Jackie
Bradley Jr. has disappointed owners, managers, and fans alike with his sub-par
plate discipline. Bradley Jr. will never hit for power, which makes his strikeout
ratios rather scary. Now that Mookie Betts is knocking on the door, Bradley Jr.
could very well lose his starting role come the start of next season. Without
improvement at the plate, Bradley Jr. will find himself as a non-impact bench
player for the Boston Red Sox.
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